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2024-12-14 02:02:27

Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of Czech Central Bank: There is no reason to change my view on inflation risk in November, and I still think that interest rate cuts should be suspended.The foreign exchange index of emerging markets reversed the previous decline.Cross-border communication: 1% of the company's shares held by the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action plan to be enforced. Cross-border communication (002640) announced on the evening of December 11 that Yang Jianxin, the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action person, Xinyu Ruijing Enterprise Management Service Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Xinyu Ruijing") may be forced to enforce the cross-border communication shares held by them due to a dispute over equity pledge debt. Three days after the disclosure of the announcement, The price of this enforcement is determined according to the market price at the time of reduction.


Market News: U.S. Congressman Nancy Mays was attacked in the Capitol because of the transgender bill.German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "


After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.German Chancellor Scholz: It is necessary to prevent electricity prices from rising before 2025. A plan has been put forward to prevent the power grid funds from rising. The Bundestag can also vote on this before the Christmas holiday.Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.

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